{"id":20038079,"date":"2023-04-28T14:04:31","date_gmt":"2023-04-28T12:04:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.dabangasudan.org\/?p=20038079"},"modified":"2023-04-28T14:36:21","modified_gmt":"2023-04-28T12:36:21","slug":"sudan-extended-ceasefire-not-respected-amid-fears-of-conflict-spill-over","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.dabangasudan.org\/en\/all-news\/article\/sudan-extended-ceasefire-not-respected-amid-fears-of-conflict-spill-over","title":{"rendered":"Sudan extended ceasefire \u2018not respected\u2019 amid fears of conflict spill-over"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-6c531013 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\">\n<p><strong>KHARTOUM &#8211;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:600;\" class=\"wp-block-post-date\"><time datetime=\"2023-04-28T14:04:31+02:00\">28\/04\/2023<\/time><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Despite the extension of the ceasefire the Sudanese army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) agreed upon and that would start today, explosions were heard in the Sudanese capital this morning. Countries in the region fear an escalation of the conflict.<\/strong> <strong>The army may not want to return to the former \u2018political process\u2019.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Intermittent clashes took place in the vicinity of the Republican Palace along the Blue Nile in in central Khartoum, and shells fell on Tuti Island at the convergence of the Blue and the White Nile, although both parties agreed on a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dabangasudan.org\/en\/all-news\/article\/sudans-fragile-ceasefire-extended-igad-proposes-to-mediate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">three-day extension of the ceasefire<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>People living in the vicinity also reported renewed battles near the General Command of the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF), the area east of the Khartoum international Airport, in Kafouri in Khartoum North (Bahri), and in Omdurman, which led to more deaths and injuries among civilians.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Darfur Bar Association (DBA) said in a statement this morning that it received reports about the firing of mortar shells at the El Jereif neighbourhood near the Blue Nile in Khartoum from the direction of the nearby army base, which led to the death of three people.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The DBA appealed to humanitarian organisations \u201cto provide urgent aid\u201d and demanded the warring SAF and RSF commanders \u201cto immediately stop this absurd war\u201d. The lawyers also called on the United Nations \u201cto intervene to stop the war and the war crimes they are committing\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Escalation<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>African diplomatic sources have warned for an escalation of the conflict. They told <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.net\/politics\/2023\/4\/25\/%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AC%D8%B2%D9%8A%D8%B1%D8%A9-%D9%86%D8%AA-%D8%AA%D9%83%D8%B4%D9%81-%D8%B4%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%B7-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A8%D8%B1%D9%87%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%88%D8%AD%D9%85%D9%8A%D8%AF%D8%AA%D9%8A\">Al Jazeera Net<\/a> earlier this week that \u201cinfluential international powers\u201d fear that Sudan may fully collapse into a failed state. Considering \u201cthe country&#8217;s geopolitical location\u201d this may lead to \u201cchaos and the spread of more weapons, stir terrorism and irregular migration from the countries of the Horn of Africa to the Sahel and the Sahara towards Europe\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By Monday, the Sudanese army was able to control RSF military sites in 17 of the country&#8217;s 18 states, either through military confrontations or surrender, and took control of all RSF bases in the country\u2019s capital, <em>Al Jazeera<\/em> correspondent El Nour Ahmed El Nour wrote.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>RSF paramilitaries are deployed in several neighbourhoods and on the main roads in Khartoum, Omdurman, and Khartoum North. They are in control of several government buildings in Khartoum and most of the police stations, and still maintain a partial presence at the Khartoum International Airport.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On April 18, the third day of the fighting, Hemedti outlined his aims: Taking control of the army, handing over power to a civilian authority, and detaining El Burhan to bring him to justice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Prognoses<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Military experts believe that the estimates of El Burhan and Hemedti were not accurate, as the former did not seem ready for war or deemed it unlikely to happen, El Nour stated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The RSF joined the guards of the Republican Palace and the airport. They were deployed, with heavy weapon, near the Army Command and other strategical locations a few days before the outbreak of the fighting, and the army did not take any action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Experts believe that Hemedti thought he could resolve the battle within hours, \u201cby killing or detaining El Burhan and his military comrades in the Sovereignty Council and taking control of the Army Command, and thus become the head of the state\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regional parties also fear the flow of arms and fighters from Libya, the Central African Republic (CAR), and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dabangasudan.org\/en\/all-news\/article\/chad-fears-rising-tribal-tensions-if-rsf-wins-as-up-to-20000-sudanese-refugees-crossed-its-border\">Chad<\/a> through the Darfur region, where Hemedti has tribal allies. The infiltration of fighters from Niger and Mali may extend as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El Burhan has set one condition for sitting down with the RSF Command, preferably not Hemedti, which is the withdrawal of their forces from Khartoum and return to their positions as they were in December last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The RSF soldiers are to be placed in military camps until their integration into the army. Hemedti is to be removed and held accountable for his \u201crebellion\u201d, the loss of lives and the destruction of many buildings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hemedti conditions the removal of El Burhan and the return of RSF bases destroyed by the army. He has expressed his willingness to integrate his forces into the SAF within a period of time to be agreed upon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yet, a number of RSF commanders reportedly hold Hemedti responsible for the great losses they suffered in their ranks and the dwindling of their social support likely that this might push them to step down later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Strategic Expert Mohamed Hammad told <em>Al Jazeera Net<\/em> that he believes that the negotiating table will force El Burhan and Hemedti to make concessions that may be acceptable to the military establishment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El Burhan said last week that Hemedti refused his proposal to step down together.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Political process<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The divisions and polarisation among the various political parties and groups, and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dabangasudan.org\/en\/all-news\/article\/signing-of-the-final-agreement-postponed-over-saf-rsf-differences\">Framework Agreement<\/a> signed between the military junta and more than 40 political bodies under the umbrella of the mainstream Forces of Freedom and Change (FFC-Central Council), were among the reasons that precipitated the military clash between El Burhan and Hemedti, El Nour stated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe agreement granted the RSF a status parallel to the army, which provoked the military establishment, while the FFC-CC tried to monopolise power and sought to profit from Hemedti\u2019s military strength, his influence in the state, and his financial weight.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sources close to the Sudanese military establishment told <em>Al Jazeera Net<\/em> that \u201cthe general mood in the army calls for not returning to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dabangasudan.org\/en\/all-news\/article\/first-phase-of-lead-up-to-framework-agreement-concludes-in-sudan-capital\">political process<\/a> in its previous form, as it was a recipe for division and political conflict but proposes the formation of a caretaker government to manage the affairs of country and hold elections a year later\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The African Union and other regional and international powers, however, prefer to return to the agreed-on political process with a new approach. The base of the political groups should be expanded (loyalists to the dissolved National Congress Party of Omar Al Bashir are excluded), in order to achieve the largest degree of national consensus, after which a civilian government can be formed.<\/p>\n<div class=\"sws_supernormalaction\"><button on=\"tap:superwebshare-lightbox\" class=\"superwebshare_normal_button1 superwebshare-button-large superwebshare-button-square superwebshare_prompt superwebshare_button_svg\" style=\"color:#ffffff;background-color: #d52631;\" ><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"superwebshare-svg\"  fill=\"currentColor\" viewBox=\"0 0 1000 1000\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"0\"><path stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" 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Rapid&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":20036427,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[34,110,109,92,27,108,32,38],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20038079","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2021-coup","category-flash-posts","category-frontpage","category-main-story","category-news","category-news-headlines","category-politics","category-violence"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Sudan extended ceasefire \u2018not respected\u2019 amid fears of conflict spill-over - Dabanga Radio TV Online<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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